Speculative Positioning & Miscalculated Market Risks

In this episode, Alex Melvin sits down with Mohit Arora, VP of Risk Analytics and Decision Sciences at Mobius, to discuss the latest trends and trading insights in the commodities and financial markets. Mohit shares his extensive background in trading crude and natural gas options and delves into the intricacies of managing tail risks and utilizing analytical tools to help clients. The conversation covers a wide array of topics, including speculative positioning in hedge funds, the contrasting positioning trends in Brent versus WTI, and the broader economic indicators affecting market sentiment. The episode also explores the impact of AI and robotics on manufacturing, recent trade negotiations, the dynamics of global demand, and the significant role of international buyers in the US Treasury auctions. This comprehensive discussion provides valuable insights for anyone interested in understanding the complexities of the commodities market and broader economic trends.

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Show Timeline

00:00 Introduction and Guest Background

00:39 Mohit's Career Journey

02:35 Current Market Trends and Speculative Positioning

03:26 Energy Market Analysis: Brent vs. WTI

07:45 Product Demand and Economic Indicators

10:56 Global Trade and Economic Implications

14:59 Financial Instruments and Speculative Positioning

23:42 Technological Advancements in Manufacturing

34:15 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

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